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FED RENEWS LOW RATE PROMISE, UPBEAT ON ECONOMY | FED RENEWS LOW RATE PROMISE, UPBEAT ON ECONOMY |
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| Written by Reuters | |
| Wednesday, 28 April 2010 | |
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SUBDUED INFLATION Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank President Thomas Hoenig dissented for a third consecutive meeting because he opposed the ultra-low rates pledge on the grounds that it could lead to "a build-up of future imbalances." He also worried it could curb the Fed's flexibility to raise rates if and when needed. The U.S. economy has been expanding since last summer, emerging more quickly than anticipated from its deepest recession since the Great Depression. Gross domestic product rose at a 5.6 percent annual rate in the fourth quarter, and is forecast to have climbed at a 3.4 percent pace in the first three months of this year. Employment gains have been harder to come by. With the unemployment rate stuck at 9.7 percent, some Fed officials are anxious about the sustainability of the economic rebound. "The pace of economic recovery is likely to be moderate for a time," the Fed said, repeating a phrase it employed after its last two meetings in January and March. In response to the recession and worst financial crisis in generations, the Fed slashed interest rates and undertook a series of emergency measures to help fractured credit markets. Despite some speculation that the central bank might openly refer to the possibility of asset sales, the statement contained no such mention, although that does not necessarily mean the matter was not discussed. The Fed's interventions have had some success in restoring financial stability, but scars from the crisis are still visible. Instead of the subprime mortgages that saddled homeowners and banks with bad debts, current worries focus on the heavy debt loads of some euro zone nations and the possibility their woes could be the precursor to a broader sovereign debt crisis among advanced nations. Ratings agency S&P downgraded Spain on Wednesday, a day after cutting Greek and Portugal's debt grades almost in tandem, sending global markets into a tailspin. European stocks have fallen more than 6 percent in less than two weeks. In recent weeks, Fed officials have said the debt troubles in Greece and some other euro zone nations were not yet directly affecting the U.S. outlook, though they continue to watch for signs of a renewed liquidity crunch.
"The Fed would act when the contagion in European financial markets is beginning to impact U.S. financial markets," said Joseph Brusuelas, chief economist at Brusuelas Analytics in Stamford, Connecticut. |